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Jane Horgan's main
area of research is survey sampling and estimation, with particular
emphasis on developing strategies for skewed populations with
rare incidence of the study variable. These populations are referred
to as "non-standard mixtures of distributions" and occur in many
disciplines, notably accounting, finance, medicine, and technology
production. The difficulty inherent in analysing data from such
distributions is that estimators based on normal distribution
theory are unreliable, and improved selection and estimation strategies
are necessary. Of particular interest is the analysis of accounts
in financial auditing where skewed distributions are the norm,
and where existing strategies such as the Stringer, cell and moment
bound estimates are too conservative to be of practical use.
In previous work, Prof.
Horgan has developed new selection techniques for finite populations
with unequal unit sizes. She is currently working on the use of
Edgeworth expansion theory to reduce the conservativeness of the
Stringer bound, on developing Bayesian strategies for application
to rare-incidence populations, and on devising stratification
methods for application to skewed populations with particular
emphasis on sales tax audits. Work to date has been supported
by Enterprise Ireland's International Collaboration funding, and
by IRSCET. Future work in this area might involve developing procedures
using resampling and empirical likelihood methods for application
to non-standard mixtures of distributions.
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